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While modern batteries have become synonymous with electric vehicles (EV) and personal devices, demand for grid-scale units to store energy from renewable projects capable of powering densely populated areas has grown strikingly. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), total battery energy storage capacity in the power sector doubled in 2023 to reach over 85GW, with grid-connected storage responsible for most of that growth. Meanwhile, in the first quarter of 2024, more than 200 grid-scale battery storage projects entered operation, according to consultants Rho Motion. Such is the boom in these projects that batteries now account for 98% of the world's energy storage market.

"The industry has grown up," says Silke Goldberg, a partner in Herbert Smith Freehills' (HSF) power practice and Global Head of ESG. "We are now seeing individual batteries of up to 300MW and some portfolios add up to a gigawatt. Batteries are great because they can turn intermittent generation into something much more baseload-like. We've also seen more investment in batteries and grids across every European jurisdiction."

To ensure growth continues, grids must improve networks and connections while supply chain challenges also need to be overcome. Notably, Britain's network operator National Grid conceded in September that aging computers and outdated infrastructure meant that battery energy storage was not being used in 30% of cases where it was the cheapest alternative.

How do grid-scale batteries make money?

Crucially, batteries must become more bankable as unpredictable revenue streams and comparatively lighter state support make them less attractive to investors than traditional renewable power projects.

Currently, battery storage projects are often hard to finance on the basis of solely serving capacity markets and ancillary services, parts of the wholesale energy markets that bolster security and stability.

However, certain financing arrangements can make a difference in getting projects off the ground. The increasingly popular co-location model (which places batteries alongside a renewable power generator) means storage projects are bolstered by the more stable revenues of a clean energy project backed by enhanced state support, such as contract for difference regimes. Moreover, cash sweep mechanisms, a derisking tool where a proportion of free cash is used to repay debt, can also help secure lenders. Also helpful is scrutiny of the creditworthiness of offtakers or energy aggregators, a form of consortium arrangement where customers group together to buy power on better terms.

There isn't a commercial difficulty with grid-scale storage projects in Australia – the challenge for investors is deciding the revenue structure.

Gerard Pike
Partner, Herbert Smith Freehills

Dated regulatory regimes can also make scaling projects difficult in certain jurisdictions,  reflects Rupert Baker, Singapore-based projects partner: "You need private investment to get the speed and penetration, but you also need a fit-for-purpose regulatory framework." Despite these hurdles, investment is growing. According to the IEA, storage projects received $40 billion in 2023, a fivefold increase since 2018, with CNNP Rich Energy in China, Hecate Energy in the US and Engie in Europe among the largest investors.

Projects remain concentrated in a handful of advanced economies due to high upfront costs and battery storage projects sometimes still struggle to demonstrate a commercial track record akin to those produced by renewable power projects. But this isn't the case everywhere, notes Melbourne-based energy and infrastructure partner Gerard Pike: "There isn't a commercial difficulty with grid-scale storage projects in Australia – the challenge for investors is deciding the revenue structure. You may want a contract providing a proportion of your battery use to ancillary services, but you also have the option to take advantage of high prices in the market with the arbitrage opportunities a battery project creates and devote capacity to charging and discharging on a merchant basis.

"Other options are entering a long-term tolling agreement with an investment-grade offtaker that will use the battery for a period in return for a toll or lease payment or entering financial offtakes such as 'virtual tolling' for all or some of the battery's capacity or for only certain market trading intervals. Then there are revenue floor guarantee offtakes such as Commonwealth Capacity Investment Scheme Agreements or Long Term Energy Service Agreements in New South Wales. It's a different investment proposition depending on which you choose."

Technologically, batteries have little to prove beyond progress in lifespan, efficiency and costs: their centrality to the energy transition is beyond question. The commercial argument in Western markets, however, remains open. "To finance batteries and lure private investment you need to have enough revenue in the longer term to amortise that often high upfront capital expense," concludes Baker. "You need certainty of revenue."


Chasing Zero – Energy Transition

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Rupert Baker photo

Rupert Baker

Partner, Singapore

Rupert Baker
Silke Goldberg photo

Silke Goldberg

Partner, London

Silke Goldberg
Gerard Pike photo

Gerard Pike

Partner, Melbourne

Gerard Pike

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